Jay’s weekly column · Regular season only
Jay’s NFL Power Rankings
At No. 1: San Francisco 49ers
By Jay · Published
Rankings as of · Through Week 4 · 64 completed games
The No. 1 spot belongs to San Francisco 49ers on this week’s board. Here’s how all 32 teams stack up, based on 64 completed regular-season games. Read the quick take for each team, then open the numbers if you want to dig deeper.
A weekly read: this edition stays fixed while the league snapshot updates hourly. New editions are scheduled for Tuesdays at 9 AM Eastern.
This week at a glance
Setting the pace: #1 San Francisco 49ers · #2 Kansas City Chiefs · #3 Jacksonville Jaguars
Biggest climb: Atlanta Falcons, up 10 spots from the previous published edition.
San Francisco 49ers
4–0 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they beat Denver Broncos 24–14. The record is doing plenty of the heavy lifting. At 4–0, they’re outscoring opponents by 14.5 points a game, while allowing 16.0.
Next up: at Seattle Seahawks. Winnable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 78.0
- Jay’s Index
- 78.0
- Record
- 4–0
- Points scored / allowed
- 122 / 64
- Points scored per game
- 30.5
- Points allowed per game
- 16.0
- Record grade
- 100.0
- Win quality grade
- 42.8
- Offense grade
- 89.2
- Defense grade
- 88.4
- Recent form grade
- 92.9
Recent results: W DEN 24–14 · W ARI 36–30 · W MIA 35–13
Matchup context: On the road, against the #6 team. SF has a 14.3-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor SF.
Kansas City Chiefs
4–0 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they beat Las Vegas Raiders 30–27. The record is doing plenty of the heavy lifting. At 4–0, they’re outscoring opponents by 10.3 points a game, while allowing 19.3.
Next up: vs. Los Angeles Chargers. Favorable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 76.7
- Jay’s Index
- 76.7
- Record
- 4–0
- Points scored / allowed
- 118 / 77
- Points scored per game
- 29.5
- Points allowed per game
- 19.3
- Record grade
- 100.0
- Win quality grade
- 50.3
- Offense grade
- 86.1
- Defense grade
- 75.1
- Recent form grade
- 87.9
Recent results: W LV 30–27 · W MIA 24–10 · W IND 33–30
Matchup context: At home, against the #31 team. KC has a 68.0-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor KC.
Jacksonville Jaguars
3–1 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they beat Cincinnati Bengals 22–17. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 3–1, they’re outscoring opponents by 12.8 points a game, while allowing 13.3.
Next up: vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Favorable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 72.8
- Jay’s Index
- 72.8
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 104 / 53
- Points scored per game
- 26.0
- Points allowed per game
- 13.3
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 59.8
- Offense grade
- 69.5
- Defense grade
- 94.4
- Recent form grade
- 65.7
Recent results: W CIN 22–17 · W NE 35–6 · L DEN 13–20
Matchup context: Neutral site, against the #24 team. JAX has a 35.4-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor JAX.
Chicago Bears
3–1 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they beat New York Jets 23–12. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 3–1, they’re outscoring opponents by 11.8 points a game, while allowing 16.3.
Next up: at Green Bay Packers. Favorable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 71.6
- Jay’s Index
- 71.6
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 112 / 65
- Points scored per game
- 28.0
- Points allowed per game
- 16.3
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 53.0
- Offense grade
- 80.2
- Defense grade
- 87.7
- Recent form grade
- 67.6
Recent results: W NYJ 23–12 · W PHI 27–7 · L MIN 3–9
Matchup context: On the road, against the #25 team. CHI has a 36.7-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor CHI.
Minnesota Vikings
4–0 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they beat Miami Dolphins 15–10. The record is doing plenty of the heavy lifting. At 4–0, they’re outscoring opponents by 8.8 points a game, while allowing 12.8.
Next up: at New Orleans Saints. Favorable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 69.3
- Jay’s Index
- 69.3
- Record
- 4–0
- Points scored / allowed
- 86 / 51
- Points scored per game
- 21.5
- Points allowed per game
- 12.8
- Record grade
- 100.0
- Win quality grade
- 43.8
- Offense grade
- 38.7
- Defense grade
- 95.1
- Recent form grade
- 88.1
Recent results: W MIA 15–10 · W TB 23–16 · W CHI 9–3
Matchup context: On the road, against the #21 team. MIN has a 24.6-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor MIN.
Seattle Seahawks
3–1 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they beat Los Angeles Chargers 30–23. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 3–1, they’re outscoring opponents by 8.0 points a game, while allowing 18.3.
Next up: vs. San Francisco 49ers. Tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 63.7
- Jay’s Index
- 63.7
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 105 / 73
- Points scored per game
- 26.3
- Points allowed per game
- 18.3
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 37.6
- Offense grade
- 71.0
- Defense grade
- 80.0
- Recent form grade
- 68.4
Recent results: W LAC 30–23 · L WSH 31–33 · W ARI 31–7
Matchup context: At home, against the #1 team. SEA has a 14.3-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over SEA.
Baltimore Ravens
3–1 · ↑ Up 1 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Tennessee Titans 24–18. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 3–1, they’re outscoring opponents by 5.0 points a game, while allowing 24.0.
Next up: at Atlanta Falcons. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 61.4
- Jay’s Index
- 61.4
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 116 / 96
- Points scored per game
- 29.0
- Points allowed per game
- 24.0
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 46.8
- Offense grade
- 84.3
- Defense grade
- 43.7
- Recent form grade
- 61.0
Recent results: W TEN 24–18 · W DAL 34–31 · L NO 17–24
Matchup context: On the road, against the #13 team. BAL has a 10.2-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor BAL.
Las Vegas Raiders
3–1 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they lost to Kansas City Chiefs 27–30. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 3–1, they’re outscoring opponents by 7.8 points a game, while allowing 21.0.
Next up: at New England Patriots. Winnable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 60.8
- Jay’s Index
- 60.8
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 115 / 84
- Points scored per game
- 28.8
- Points allowed per game
- 21.0
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 30.5
- Offense grade
- 83.4
- Defense grade
- 64.6
- Recent form grade
- 66.7
Recent results: L KC 27–30 · W NO 35–27 · W LAC 26–14
Matchup context: On the road, against the #15 team. LV has a 9.7-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor LV.
Buffalo Bills
3–1 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to New England Patriots 26–29. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 3–1, they’re outscoring opponents by 5.0 points a game, while allowing 26.8.
Next up: at Los Angeles Rams. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 56.1
- Jay’s Index
- 56.1
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 127 / 107
- Points scored per game
- 31.8
- Points allowed per game
- 26.8
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 34.6
- Offense grade
- 92.2
- Defense grade
- 26.1
- Recent form grade
- 66.1
Recent results: L NE 26–29 · W LAC 24–16 · W DET 41–31
Matchup context: On the road, against the #12 team. BUF has a 2.1-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor BUF.
Carolina Panthers
2–2 · ↑ Up 2 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Detroit Lions 32–26. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re outscoring opponents by 3.0 points a game, while allowing 27.3.
Next up: at Philadelphia Eagles. Winnable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 55.4
- Jay’s Index
- 55.4
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 121 / 109
- Points scored per game
- 30.3
- Points allowed per game
- 27.3
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 57.1
- Offense grade
- 88.5
- Defense grade
- 23.5
- Recent form grade
- 67.8
Recent results: W DET 32–26 · L CLE 18–21 · W ATL 34–3
Matchup context: On the road, against the #24 team. CAR has a 18.0-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor CAR.
New York Giants
3–1 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Arizona Cardinals 36–24. The record is doing plenty of the heavy lifting. At 3–1, they’re outscoring opponents by 0.8 points a game, while allowing 19.8.
Next up: at Washington Commanders. Winnable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 55.0
- Jay’s Index
- 55.0
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 82 / 79
- Points scored per game
- 20.5
- Points allowed per game
- 19.8
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 41.0
- Offense grade
- 32.2
- Defense grade
- 72.3
- Recent form grade
- 60.8
Recent results: W ARI 36–24 · W TEN 12–7 · L LAR 6–28
Matchup context: On the road, against the #23 team. NYG has a 15.2-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor NYG.
Los Angeles Rams
2–2 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Philadelphia Eagles 24–20. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re outscoring opponents by 0.5 points a game, while allowing 20.8.
Next up: vs. Buffalo Bills. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 54.0
- Jay’s Index
- 54.0
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 85 / 83
- Points scored per game
- 21.3
- Points allowed per game
- 20.8
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 58.6
- Offense grade
- 37.0
- Defense grade
- 66.2
- Recent form grade
- 66.1
Recent results: W PHI 24–20 · L DEN 26–30 · W NYG 28–6
Matchup context: At home, against the #9 team. LAR has a 2.1-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over LAR.
Atlanta Falcons
2–2 · ↑ Up 10 from last edition
Last time out, they beat New Orleans Saints 45–24. Recent form is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re outscoring opponents by 1.0 points a game, while allowing 23.0.
Next up: vs. Baltimore Ravens. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 51.2
- Jay’s Index
- 51.2
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 96 / 92
- Points scored per game
- 24.0
- Points allowed per game
- 23.0
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 46.8
- Offense grade
- 56.3
- Defense grade
- 50.8
- Recent form grade
- 65.6
Recent results: W NO 45–24 · W GB 35–14 · L CAR 3–34
Matchup context: At home, against the #7 team. ATL has a 10.2-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over ATL.
Cleveland Browns
3–1 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Pittsburgh Steelers 27–24. Recent form is their strongest part of the index. At 3–1, they’re being outscored by 3.5 points a game, while allowing 23.8.
Next up: at New York Jets. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 51.2
- Jay’s Index
- 51.2
- Record
- 3–1
- Points scored / allowed
- 81 / 95
- Points scored per game
- 20.3
- Points allowed per game
- 23.8
- Record grade
- 75.0
- Win quality grade
- 43.3
- Offense grade
- 30.6
- Defense grade
- 45.4
- Recent form grade
- 84.7
Recent results: W PIT 27–24 · W CAR 21–18 · W TB 23–19
Matchup context: On the road, against the #26 team. CLE has a 17.2-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor CLE.
New England Patriots
2–2 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Buffalo Bills 29–26. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re being outscored by 3.0 points a game, while allowing 19.3.
Next up: vs. Las Vegas Raiders. Tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 51.2
- Jay’s Index
- 51.2
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 65 / 77
- Points scored per game
- 16.3
- Points allowed per game
- 19.3
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 60.5
- Offense grade
- 12.3
- Defense grade
- 75.1
- Recent form grade
- 60.5
Recent results: W BUF 29–26 · L JAX 6–35 · W PIT 20–3
Matchup context: At home, against the #8 team. NE has a 9.7-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over NE.
Denver Broncos
2–2 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to San Francisco 49ers 14–24. Wins against stronger opponents carry real weight here. At 2–2, they’re being outscored by 5.0 points a game, while allowing 23.5.
Next up: at Los Angeles Chargers. Winnable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 48.8
- Jay’s Index
- 48.8
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 74 / 94
- Points scored per game
- 18.5
- Points allowed per game
- 23.5
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 65.4
- Offense grade
- 21.1
- Defense grade
- 47.2
- Recent form grade
- 60.8
Recent results: L SF 14–24 · W LAR 30–26 · W JAX 20–13
Matchup context: On the road, against the #31 team. DEN has a 40.1-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor DEN.
Pittsburgh Steelers
2–2 · ↑ Up 3 from last edition
Last time out, they lost to Cleveland Browns 24–27. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re being outscored by 2.5 points a game, while allowing 21.8.
Next up: vs. Indianapolis Colts. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 48.0
- Jay’s Index
- 48.0
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 77 / 87
- Points scored per game
- 19.3
- Points allowed per game
- 21.8
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 56.2
- Offense grade
- 24.9
- Defense grade
- 59.6
- Recent form grade
- 34.4
Recent results: L CLE 24–27 · W CIN 30–27 · L NE 3–20
Matchup context: At home, against the #22 team. PIT has a 3.5-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor PIT.
Cincinnati Bengals
2–2 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they lost to Jacksonville Jaguars 17–22. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re outscoring opponents by 3.0 points a game, while allowing 21.3.
Next up: at Miami Dolphins. Favorable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 47.3
- Jay’s Index
- 47.3
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 97 / 85
- Points scored per game
- 24.3
- Points allowed per game
- 21.3
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 28.4
- Offense grade
- 58.1
- Defense grade
- 63.0
- Recent form grade
- 41.4
Recent results: L JAX 17–22 · L PIT 27–30 · W HOU 20–6
Matchup context: On the road, against the #32 team. CIN has a 39.3-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor CIN.
Dallas Cowboys
2–2 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Houston Texans 34–30. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re outscoring opponents by 2.5 points a game, while allowing 28.0.
Next up: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Favorable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 47.1
- Jay’s Index
- 47.1
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 122 / 112
- Points scored per game
- 30.5
- Points allowed per game
- 28.0
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 31.8
- Offense grade
- 89.2
- Defense grade
- 19.8
- Recent form grade
- 66.0
Recent results: W HOU 34–30 · L BAL 31–34 · W WSH 37–20
Matchup context: At home, against the #29 team. DAL has a 33.0-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor DAL.
Detroit Lions
2–2 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they lost to Carolina Panthers 26–32. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re being outscored by 2.0 points a game, while allowing 31.8.
Next up: at Arizona Cardinals. Winnable matchup.
Open the numbers Index 45.1
- Jay’s Index
- 45.1
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 119 / 127
- Points scored per game
- 29.8
- Points allowed per game
- 31.8
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 39.3
- Offense grade
- 87.0
- Defense grade
- 7.8
- Recent form grade
- 36.3
Recent results: L CAR 26–32 · W NYJ 31–24 · L BUF 31–41
Matchup context: On the road, against the #27 team. DET has a 19.9-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor DET.
New Orleans Saints
1–3 · ↓ Down 6 from last edition
Last time out, they lost to Atlanta Falcons 24–45. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 1–3, they’re being outscored by 5.8 points a game, while allowing 32.0.
Next up: vs. Minnesota Vikings. Very tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 44.7
- Jay’s Index
- 44.7
- Record
- 1–3
- Points scored / allowed
- 105 / 128
- Points scored per game
- 26.3
- Points allowed per game
- 32.0
- Record grade
- 25.0
- Win quality grade
- 70.2
- Offense grade
- 71.0
- Defense grade
- 7.3
- Recent form grade
- 33.6
Recent results: L ATL 24–45 · L LV 27–35 · W BAL 24–17
Matchup context: At home, against the #5 team. NO has a 24.6-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over NO.
Indianapolis Colts
2–2 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they beat Washington Commanders 30–13. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re being outscored by 0.5 points a game, while allowing 26.0.
Next up: at Pittsburgh Steelers. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 44.5
- Jay’s Index
- 44.5
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 102 / 104
- Points scored per game
- 25.5
- Points allowed per game
- 26.0
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 31.1
- Offense grade
- 66.4
- Defense grade
- 30.5
- Recent form grade
- 65.1
Recent results: W WSH 30–13 · W HOU 19–17 · L KC 30–33
Matchup context: On the road, against the #17 team. IND has a 3.5-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over IND.
Washington Commanders
1–3 · ↓ Down 1 from last edition
Last time out, they lost to Indianapolis Colts 13–30. Wins against stronger opponents carry real weight here. At 1–3, they’re being outscored by 8.5 points a game, while allowing 30.5.
Next up: vs. New York Giants. Tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 39.8
- Jay’s Index
- 39.8
- Record
- 1–3
- Points scored / allowed
- 88 / 122
- Points scored per game
- 22.0
- Points allowed per game
- 30.5
- Record grade
- 25.0
- Win quality grade
- 71.6
- Offense grade
- 42.1
- Defense grade
- 10.8
- Recent form grade
- 29.8
Recent results: L IND 13–30 · W SEA 33–31 · L DAL 20–37
Matchup context: At home, against the #11 team. WSH has a 15.2-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over WSH.
Philadelphia Eagles
2–2 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to Los Angeles Rams 20–24. The record is doing plenty of the heavy lifting. At 2–2, they’re being outscored by 4.5 points a game, while allowing 23.3.
Next up: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars. Very tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 37.4
- Jay’s Index
- 37.4
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 75 / 93
- Points scored per game
- 18.8
- Points allowed per game
- 23.3
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 29.7
- Offense grade
- 22.3
- Defense grade
- 49.0
- Recent form grade
- 34.1
Recent results: L LAR 20–24 · L CHI 7–27 · W TEN 24–20
Matchup context: Neutral site, against the #3 team. PHI has a 35.4-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over PHI.
Green Bay Packers
2–2 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17–14. Recent form is their strongest part of the index. At 2–2, they’re being outscored by 8.0 points a game, while allowing 26.3.
Next up: vs. Chicago Bears. Very tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 34.9
- Jay’s Index
- 34.9
- Record
- 2–2
- Points scored / allowed
- 73 / 105
- Points scored per game
- 18.3
- Points allowed per game
- 26.3
- Record grade
- 50.0
- Win quality grade
- 32.7
- Offense grade
- 20.0
- Defense grade
- 29.0
- Recent form grade
- 56.8
Recent results: W TB 17–14 · L ATL 14–35 · W NYJ 20–17
Matchup context: At home, against the #4 team. GB has a 36.7-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over GB.
New York Jets
1–3 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to Chicago Bears 12–23. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 1–3, they’re being outscored by 2.0 points a game, while allowing 21.0.
Next up: vs. Cleveland Browns. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 34.0
- Jay’s Index
- 34.0
- Record
- 1–3
- Points scored / allowed
- 76 / 84
- Points scored per game
- 19.0
- Points allowed per game
- 21.0
- Record grade
- 25.0
- Win quality grade
- 31.8
- Offense grade
- 23.6
- Defense grade
- 64.6
- Recent form grade
- 11.1
Recent results: L CHI 12–23 · L DET 24–31 · L GB 17–20
Matchup context: At home, against the #14 team. NYJ has a 17.2-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over NYJ.
Arizona Cardinals
1–3 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to New York Giants 24–36. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 1–3, they’re being outscored by 7.5 points a game, while allowing 29.3.
Next up: vs. Detroit Lions. Tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 25.2
- Jay’s Index
- 25.2
- Record
- 1–3
- Points scored / allowed
- 87 / 117
- Points scored per game
- 21.8
- Points allowed per game
- 29.3
- Record grade
- 25.0
- Win quality grade
- 25.2
- Offense grade
- 40.4
- Defense grade
- 14.7
- Recent form grade
- 6.4
Recent results: L NYG 24–36 · L SF 30–36 · L SEA 7–31
Matchup context: At home, against the #20 team. ARI has a 19.9-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over ARI.
Tennessee Titans
0–4 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to Baltimore Ravens 18–24. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 0–4, they’re being outscored by 7.0 points a game, while allowing 20.8.
Next up: vs. Houston Texans. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 15.2
- Jay’s Index
- 15.2
- Record
- 0–4
- Points scored / allowed
- 55 / 83
- Points scored per game
- 13.8
- Points allowed per game
- 20.8
- Record grade
- 0.0
- Win quality grade
- 0.0
- Offense grade
- 6.5
- Defense grade
- 66.2
- Recent form grade
- 13.2
Recent results: L BAL 18–24 · L NYG 7–12 · L PHI 20–24
Matchup context: At home, against the #30 team. TEN has a 2.8-point index edge; scoring averages and opponent defense favor TEN.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0–4 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to Green Bay Packers 14–17. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 0–4, they’re being outscored by 5.0 points a game, while allowing 24.0.
Next up: at Dallas Cowboys. Very tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 14.1
- Jay’s Index
- 14.1
- Record
- 0–4
- Points scored / allowed
- 76 / 96
- Points scored per game
- 19.0
- Points allowed per game
- 24.0
- Record grade
- 0.0
- Win quality grade
- 0.0
- Offense grade
- 23.6
- Defense grade
- 43.7
- Recent form grade
- 13.7
Recent results: L GB 14–17 · L MIN 16–23 · L CLE 19–23
Matchup context: On the road, against the #19 team. TB has a 33.0-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over TB.
Houston Texans
0–4 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to Dallas Cowboys 30–34. Scoring is their strongest part of the index. At 0–4, they’re being outscored by 6.3 points a game, while allowing 27.3.
Next up: at Tennessee Titans. Close matchup.
Open the numbers Index 12.4
- Jay’s Index
- 12.4
- Record
- 0–4
- Points scored / allowed
- 84 / 109
- Points scored per game
- 21.0
- Points allowed per game
- 27.3
- Record grade
- 0.0
- Win quality grade
- 0.0
- Offense grade
- 35.4
- Defense grade
- 23.5
- Recent form grade
- 12.1
Recent results: L DAL 30–34 · L IND 17–19 · L CIN 6–20
Matchup context: On the road, against the #28 team. HOU has a 2.8-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over HOU.
Los Angeles Chargers
0–4 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to Seattle Seahawks 23–30. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 0–4, they’re being outscored by 9.8 points a game, while allowing 26.5.
Next up: vs. Denver Broncos. Tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 8.7
- Jay’s Index
- 8.7
- Record
- 0–4
- Points scored / allowed
- 67 / 106
- Points scored per game
- 16.8
- Points allowed per game
- 26.5
- Record grade
- 0.0
- Win quality grade
- 0.0
- Offense grade
- 14.0
- Defense grade
- 27.5
- Recent form grade
- 8.8
Recent results: L SEA 23–30 · L BUF 16–24 · L LV 14–26
Matchup context: At home, against the #16 team. LAC has a 40.1-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over LAC.
Miami Dolphins
0–4 · Same spot as last edition
Last time out, they lost to Minnesota Vikings 10–15. Keeping opponents off the scoreboard is their strongest part of the index. At 0–4, they’re being outscored by 13.8 points a game, while allowing 25.3.
Next up: vs. Cincinnati Bengals. Very tough matchup.
Open the numbers Index 8.1
- Jay’s Index
- 8.1
- Record
- 0–4
- Points scored / allowed
- 46 / 101
- Points scored per game
- 11.5
- Points allowed per game
- 25.3
- Record grade
- 0.0
- Win quality grade
- 0.0
- Offense grade
- 3.5
- Defense grade
- 35.2
- Recent form grade
- 6.5
Recent results: L MIN 10–15 · L KC 10–24 · L SF 13–35
Matchup context: At home, against the #18 team. MIA has a 39.3-point index deficit; scoring averages and opponent defense favor the opponent over MIA.
How Jay’s rankings work
Jay’s NFL Index: record 25%, win quality 30%, offense 20%, defense 20%, recent form 5%. Win quality combines opponent performance (80%) and scoring margin (20%). This is a statistical ordering, not an official standing or a prediction.
Commentary is generated from the published statistical snapshot. No preseason or postseason games are included. Movement compares published weekly editions, not hourly standings.